Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams -The Master
For an actress with such a distinctive look and voice, it's amazing how Amy Adams has managed to avoid type casting. Her ability to do so lies in her versatility and talent. Though one can easily envision her in the kinds of roles she took on in Enchanted or The Muppets, Adams continues to seek out and thrive in roles in films like Junebug, Doubt, and The Fighter. Here she plays a woman whose steely devotion to her husband and his cause is thinly veiled by '50s era gentility. In two scenes in particular, where one can almost literally see her slowly pulling back the veil, Adams is a powerhouse. But this is mostly a role of nuance and quietude... possibly mostly of quietude. Adams turns in a fine performance, but not the one I would give the Globe to.
Sally Field -Lincoln
There has been much talk this awards season of how Sally Field fought for this role, of how Field felt a connection to Mary Todd Lincoln and had to convince Spielberg she was right for the part. Unfortunately the story of how she earned the role is better than her performance in the role itself. I concede that she easily outshines the other supporting nominee from Lincoln (Tommy Lee Jones), but is hers really in the top 5 supporting performances by an actress this year? She is definitely one of the better supporting actresses of 2012, but the best...?
Anne Hathaway -Les Miserables
It has been said then Jennifer Hudson won her Best Supporting Actress Oscar (and Globe for that matter) for Dreamgirls just by singing "And I Am Telling You I'm Not Going". When Hathaway wins her Oscar (and Globe) for Les Miserables, it will likely be said that she won purely for singing "I Dreamed A Dream". Those who say it won't be wrong either. Hathaway is a powerhouse of agony and desperation as she tearfully belts the tune through cries and sobs. As she sings, her sorrow is so tangible, so real, so beautiful in the way it colors each word sung of lost dreams and defeated hopes. Hathaway's awards season's dreams for Rachel Getting Married never came to fruition, but the dream she dreamed of a win for Les Miserables will almost certainly come to life.
Helen Hunt -The Sessions
What didn't work for Anne Hathaway in Love and Other Drugs, seems to have worked here for Helen Hunt in The Sessions. As Hathaway said when she hosted the Oscars, "You get naked, you get a nomination!" Here Hunt plays the part of Cheryl, an actual sexual surrogate who was tasked with helping an immobile man (John Hawkes playing the real life Mark O'Brien) undergo his first sexual experience. Hunt's Cheryl is strong and practical, but also filled with compassion, understanding, and a tender heart. As a mother,wife, and surrogate she lives a compartmentalized life with very distinctly drawn lines of separation which Hawkes' Mark begins to straddle and eventually blur. This is a role of strength and subtlety that merits its nomination but likely not a win.
Nicole Kidman -The Paperboy
Both Kidman's Globe and SAG nominations have been the point of much contention and confusion in the film world. She stars in Lee Daniels' (of Precious fame) pulpy hot mess of a thriller (reminiscent of Ryan Gosling and Kirsten Dunst's equally inconsistent and problematic All Good Things) as a hot and bothered southern blonde bombshell. Macy Gray turns in the film's best performance as a Florida maid after the civil rights movement who narrates the film. Kidman's performance is daring but sloppy and messy (it was one thing when Melissa McCarthy pooped in a sink for laughs in Bridesmaids, but its another thing entirely when Kidman urinates on Zac Ephron to save him from jellyfish stings and its meant to be steamy). Though I love Nicole Kidman and think she is an excellent actress, this nomination is a joke -likely issued to ensure her appearance on the red carpet.
Will Win: Anne Hathaway -Les Miserables
Should Win (Of Who Is Nominated): Anne Hathaway -Les Miserables
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Best Actor (Musical/ Comedy):
Should Win (Of Who Is Nominated):
Hugh Jackman -Les Miserables
Will Win: Hugh Jackman -Les Miserables
Best Actor (Drama):
Should Win (Of Who Is Nominated):
Daniel Day Lewis (Lincoln)
Will Win: Daniel Day Lewis (Lincoln)
Best Actress (Musical/ Comedy):
Should Win (Of Who Is Nominated):
*I haven't seen Maggie Smith in Quartet
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Actress (Drama):
Should Win (Of Who Is Nominated):
*I haven't seen Marion Cotillard in Rust and Bone
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
Will Win: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Best Picture (Musical/ Comedy):
Should Win (Of Who Is Nominated):
Les Miserables
Will Win: Silver Linings Playbook
Best Picture (Drama):
Should Win (Of Who Is Nominated):
Lincoln
Will Win: Lincoln
And obviously I'll be rooting for Amour in the Best Foreign Film category! The Globes air tonight at 8 PM (EST) on NBC. E!'s red carpet coverage is already underway (having begun at 5 PM EST) and NBC will also televise live from the red carpet starting at 7 PM (EST). After the Globes, E! will present a live Globes after-party starting at 11 PM (EST). For all of my in-the-moment thoughts throughout the night check out the new Rodney&Roger Twitter page and be sure to "follow" me!
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